Our result for the first five months of our North American Housing Price Index is a drop of 11.64%. As previously mentioned, we attempted to make an adjustment to not skew the data by the 'higher end' of the market. Because of recent strength in the 'lower end' of the market, the overall index is showing signs of stability.
Is this a sign of the 'bottom' in the housing market? We think not. Sales have been boosted by the much-trumpeted 10% US Federal income tax credit. Just as auto sales 'crashed' after the cash-for-clunkers plan was suspended, so too will housing sales wilt as the tax credit is wound down.
Thursday, October 15, 2009
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