In the present popular discourse, a great deal is said about how to clean up the financial mess, but not much about how to prevent a future financial catastrophe. Vague calls of "more regulation" fill the air, but not many concrete proposals can be found.
Our very concrete proposal is to return banking to a fragmented industry where the preponderance of financial assets are held by tens of thousands of institutions instead of a few global behemoths.
In the past, fragmentation was enforced not by heavy-handed regulation, but by a simple principle of law: a bank could have only a few branches, or even in the most restrictive jurisdictions, just one.
For example, from 1870 to 1967 in the State of Illinois, banks were not allowed to have even one branch in addition to its home office. In 1967, banks were allowed to open a separate drive-through building, so long as it was withing 1500 feet of the main office! Gradually the law was liberalised, and by 1993 Illinois banks could open an unlimited number of in-state branches.
In 1994, the US allowed interstate branch banking for the first time, and since then banks have expanded and consolidated across state lines. As a result of this 'reform', there has been an enormous concentration of banking assets in the hands of the nations largest institutions.
Interestingly most of the problem assets currently involved in 'rescue' schemes are held by these largest institutions. In other words, these super-huge banks that have grown up over the past few decades have made terrible investment decisions, blown their capital, and are now giant purse-sucks on the US taxpayer.
The whole housing bubble fiasco and consequent Depression might have been avoided if the Branch Banking Laws had not been 'liberalised'. It is true that a fragmented banking industry is more expensive in theory, but in practice the de-fragmented industry has turned out to be vastly more expensive.
Monday, March 30, 2009
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