Sunday, March 1, 2009

The Dark(er) Side of Raising Taxes

As our co-writer noted in yesterday's post, raising taxes during a recession is a bad idea. Raising taxes during a depression is a very, very bad idea. President Herbert Hoover raised taxes during the 1929 Depression, and thereby helped dig a deeper pit for the American economy.

As President Obama's new tax regime is cranked up, it will turn a problem into a crisis. When -- if we are correct -- the U.S. dollar is devalued significantly, it will turn a crisis into a disaster. Let us explain:

According to the President, 'rich' is now classified as a couple making $250,000+ a year. At present purchasing power, only about 1.5% of all households are making that much money. So, by the numbers, these people are apparently 'rich.' Tax them!

But wait... what about all those bank bailouts, car-maker bailouts, insurance funds, synthetic CDOs, pension funds, hedge funds, ad infinitum? Surely the top 1.5% of households by income cannot support such largesse on the part of the government... so the money's got to come from elsewhere. We turn to Messrs. Ben Bernanke and Gideon Gono, as they know the answer: the printing presses.

With money flowing magically into being from the sky, those little financial concerns disappear in a puff of inflation. The question is how much inflation will happen: we posit a nice, comfy ten-times devaluation. In that scenario, today's dollar coin is tomorrow's dime.

Also in that senario, today's $250,000 is tomorrow's $25,000. Feeling a cold chill, dear Reader? We do. We'll work hard to preserve our modest lifestyle, but that means we'll be making more and more money -- nominally -- in order to keep up with inflation. At some point, we see no reason why we won't slam headlong into the 'rich' tax bracket... even though we're far from the classic definition of 'rich.' What's your income, Reader? And what tax bracket would you be in if you tacked another zero at the end of it? If you're not careful, you may become rich without even knowing it!

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