Sunday, December 28, 2008

The Trauma of Making Money in Hyperinflation

As we were working today, eking out our honest dollar, a thought occurred to us: how will we get that dollar when hyperinflation hits? Sure, we'll be making something, but as the people in Zimbabwe have discovered, that something might not be worth a whole lot by the time one gets to the store.

Let's look at a simplistic business model: buy inventory at price X, sell at price Y, lock in profit at a comfy 7%. What happens when the inflation rate in the time between the purchase and sale is 7%, or -- especially -- 14%? Not being able to replace the inventory for less than it sold for, one loses on every sale (but makes up for it in volume, we suppose).

A similar thing will occur in wages; one may indeed make $25 an hour, but by the time the paycheque is cut and the tasty eats (extra fries, hold the mayo) from McBurger Kong costs $25, the apparently higher pay is pointless.

We like our eats, and our apartment, 'n stuff, and we cheerfully work to keep all that going. Right now, with inflation relatively 'stable,' it's easy to budget our expenses as a percentage of our income. It'll be a different story, when inflation is burning through cash faster than Bernard Madoff. Contracts, rent, interest, profit margin... all these things will become very, very different in the coming year. And we are very, very worried about that.

You should be too, dear Reader.

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